How Our Serie A Predictions Work
Prednex uses a statistical engine based on the Dixon-Coles Poisson model to generate match predictions. We analyze each team's attacking and defensive strength, recent form, league standings, head-to-head history, and home advantage to calculate expected goals (xG) for both teams.
From these xG values, we compute probabilities for every possible scoreline using Poisson distribution, then aggregate them into match result probabilities, over/under markets, and Both Teams To Score chances.
Our model is calibrated specifically for the Serie A's open, high-scoring style — with league-specific parameters for home advantage, average goals, and BTTS correlation.
Available Markets
Each prediction includes: match result (1X2) with probability percentages, double chance, top 5 most likely exact scores, half-time result, first team to score, total goals (over/under 1.5 to 4.5), Both Teams To Score, clean sheet probability, expected corners and cards, head-to-head summary, missing players and top performers.